Prime Minister Farage

(Note: this was written in August 2025 and should really have been published then. The schedule was full at that time so I kept it back, assuming the situation wouldn’t change much by March 2026, when I assumed I would publish it. As we now know, things have indeed changed. But, rather than waste this essay, I am publishing it because it stands as a historical document of how things seemed in August 2025, and because I think most of its predictions are still accurate - if, tragically, Reform UK win the next election instead of Restore Britain.)

At time of writing (August 2025) it seems inevitable that the next general election, whenever it happens, will be won by Reform UK and Nigel Farage will become the next Prime Minister of Great Britain, taking over from the appalling Keir Starmer and casually brushing aside the (once mighty but now effectively defunct) Conservative Party. We are being encouraged by Farage acolytes to believe that his victory will sweep away not only those “legacy parties” but the whole rotten “establishment” in Britain.

Such ironic fantasies as the above have long seemed absurd. We live in a profoundly ailing Britain, and Farage surely knows this. Once in Downing Street he will have the power to rescue it, but we all know he won’t do so.

It seems worthwhile to ponder what his premiership will actually be like.

He will obviously be constrained by the civil service, media, lobby groups and global powers, and he seems to have little stamina for resisting these groups, but furthermore, he doesn’t seem to have any radical aspirations anyway. How radical does he want to go? We can judge by his public remarks, and they are not encouraging. On immigration and all related issues, he has for years sounded milquetoast - at first compared with the likes of myself but now even with the general public. Far from seeing this as a signal to radicalise, he has blithely acknowledged that he is to the left of them on this matter.

I see him as very much an analogue of Trump in America. The two men are similar in some ways, and each was granted “credibility” because the regime finally decided it would be so. It is debatable whether the regime “prepared” each man years in advance for his eventual role, or whether it was genuinely resisting him all that time and only “conceded” once circumstances compelled it. (My personal theory is that the resistance against Trump was genuine - from 2015, through his first presidency, and beyond - until very late in the day when, after October 7th, it was judged that he would be more reliable on Israel than the Democrats would be.)

A British magazine illustration from around 2016

The case of Farage might be more sinister. Most likely, it is identical to Trump in that the regime genuinely loathed him (and emphatically didn’t want Brexit) but eventually decided pragmatically that it could make use of this firebrand by bringing him “into the tent”. However, it is also possible that the regime deliberately built Farage up, for many years, all throughout the dramas of the 2010s, knowing that it would eventually utilise him. Maybe they always intended to crash the Conservative Party and slide him in its place? Occam’s Razor would dictate that it would be crazy to deliberately crash a party only to create an equally futile duplicate of it, in which case the Conservative Party destroyed itself through incompetence and the regime realised, late in the day, that it needed a substitute. But perhaps the crashing of the Conservative Party was done precisely to maintain the illusion of democracy, to keep the public thinking that all of this means something and they can “vote harder” and avert their demographic doom? Or, perhaps the regime has simply decided to boost Farage instead of rehabilitating the Conservative Party, because it judges he will be a better “release valve” given the tensions brewing in Britain?

All of that being as it may… we are now facing the virtual certainty that this man will be in charge, and it doesn’t really matter how it came to be. I think it is actually easier to predict what will happen next. Containment is the word.

Before we get to Farage’s performance as PM, here is a separate prediction. His “success” in office will be trumpeted not by “the legacy media” (since no section of it could plausibly be his cheerleader) but by astroturfed elements in the online right. I mean the Andrew Golds, Konstantin Kisins, Winston Marshalls and Matt Goodwins, united by the glue of TalkTV, GB News and (sad to say) the New Culture Forum. Even Thomas Skinner is being pushed in the mainstream while being lauded by these elements as a stinging rebuke to it.

In coming years, these “alternative” organisations and figures will be massively boosted - by the regime they ostensibly oppose - and fomented into a “maverick” “nationalist” mediaplex that will play face to the legacy media’s heel, and create the impression of an organic revolution in how the British public are informed. “Based” civic nationalism will defy the tired progressivism of the legacy media. It will be a Punch & Judy contest very much mirroring Tommy Robinson vs Hope Not Hate, Cameron vs Blair, Farage vs Starmer, Pepsi vs Coca Cola.

Whenever Farage breathes, these elements will cheer him on while the legacy media will oscillate between feverish indignation and sighs of impotent dismay.

Part of the pantomime will be abortive efforts that Farage will launch under the foregone conclusion that the regime will nix them, thus wasting the public’s time while bolstering his own image as a scenery-destroying maverick. To contribute to that illusion, the legacy media will act shocked and outraged by his various antics. They will attack him constantly for the most petty things, scandals in a wine glass, yet despite their “sabotage” he will remain “triumphant”, always “getting the better of them” while never actually getting anything that his voters want.

I think we should separate what he will promise, what he will “attempt”, and what he will actually achieve. I can see the following being promised:

• take Britain out of the ECHR

• repeal the Equalities Act

• repeal the Online Safety Act and abolish Ofcom

• make home-schooling much easier (deregulation)

• cut net migration (a race-blind, civic nationalist proposal)

• deport vast numbers of foreign criminals

• for serious crimes committed by foreigners, automatic deportation after jail (already on the cards)

• shut down the migrant hotels

• stop the boats

• in schools, promote British identity and culture (the Katharine Birbalsingh model)

• reduce inheritance tax

• more apprenticeships, fewer Humanities degrees

• restore law and order - proper sentences, build more prisons, etc.

• abolish the BBC / license fee

• “end the LGBT nonsense”

• “cut the red tape” and “get Britain working again” - helping business, farming, small shops, etc.

• “take an axe to the quangocracy”

• “get our country back on track”

Once in power, some of these promises will simply be forgotten about while others will be “attempted” with no success. Time after time, the system will put up barriers that Farage simply cannot overcome, “try” as he valiantly might.

For example, taking Britain out of the ECHR will prove an impossible battle that would take many years and “frankly, just isn’t worth the bother” because, after all, “we’ve got more immediate things to think about”. Staying in the ECHR will make it impossible to stop the small boats or deport illegal migrants.

Repealing the Equalities Act would be the sensible thing for the regime to do but would be completely anathema to it. If given any choice, it will absolutely refuse.

Likewise, the Online Safety Act, which is both ideologically dear to the regime and necessary for its survival. It needs as much censorship as it can possibly get through the legislative back door. More, not less, censorship will happen under Farage - just as more deplatforming happened under Trump than under Obama or Biden - because, just like Trump 2016, Farage and his colleagues will have no courage whatsoever against the regime.

Even deregulating home-schooling, which sounds like an innocuous idea and “a common sense vote-winner”, will be easily defeated by the regime. It will simply boost some organisation that advocates “child safety”. A few horror stories in the Daily Mail about illiterate parents trapping their poor kids at home, and the regulations will be expanded and the whole idea of home-schooling will be demonised. Well-meaning middle-class couples all over Britain will conclude that, really, it’s easier just to send the kids to the local comprehensive to get their skulls filleted and pumped full of Marxism. (And after all, that will free their mother to go back into work, bringing more money into the household!)

As for getting teachers to promote British culture and identity, I don’t believe for a second that Farage has the interest or determination to do what would be necessary. There isn’t a teacher in the land whose training hasn’t primed her against such “low-grade jingoism”. The government would have to threaten them with the sack, opening up a maelstrom of legal tribulations for itself, not to mention the massive problem of replacing large numbers of unsatisfactory teachers. What’s more, to gauge their “compliance”, it would have to send inspectors (“fascist spies”) into schools to monitor things. The PR would be an absolute nightmare.

After all of this circus, here is what I can see Farage actually achieving:

• deport some refugees, definitely a lot of the criminal ones

• shut down the migrant hotels - but only by “integrating” the refugees immediately into the community instead. Many rapes will occur, but “law and order” will prevail (see above)

• some deregulation of business that will ostensibly help farmers, small shops, etc. but realistically won’t make a dent in the domination thereof by global corporations

• abolish the license fee - but the BBC will remain, funded by advertising and general taxation

In summary I think a Farage premiership will be exactly like Trump’s 2016 presidency. He will promise a lot, deliver a very small number of good things, and otherwise be an abject disappointment that is nevertheless trumpeted by the “alternative” media as a stinging assault on the forces of “regressive” progressivism. Sitting in care homes, right-wing Boomers will chuckle naively at the news of Farage “sticking it to those wokies”. For them, the illusion will be as convincing as every other manufactured narrative they have swallowed since Woodstock. For the rest of us, the grim reality will grind on, conveying us towards the demographic hell that we know awaits us in our own dotage.

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Rather, the above is how I think the regime wants things to go. If the situation were calmer, the plan would work.

But, as described elsewhere, I think Britain is a seething cauldron, and the years before and during Farage’s premiership are going to be anything but calm. By the time he gets in, he will seem a pitiful offering given the situation. Within a year in Number 10, he will seem as useless and out-of-touch as Starmer does today. A man installed to entertain, distract and mollify will instead be confronted with very serious matters. A man famed for his arrogance will find himself completely out of his depth - and this will be infuriatingly obvious to the public.

So we come back to my belief that the public are moving beyond the regime’s ability to bamboozle them. Things are happening too fast. Blame the Boriswave or African sexual impulses, blame Blackrock or our own corrupt civil service, blame Cameron or Johnson or Sunak or Starmer or, indeed, Farage. (Many people will.)

Even while he ascends towards power, Farage is starting to be seen as inadequate, too soft, too conformist, too lightweight. He is a showman, not a statesman. He is a sleazy stockbroker, not a visionary.

When the Alt-Right emerged in the early 2010s, talk of “the decline of the West” seemed fanciful to the general public. To speak, as we did, of the need for vision was to look pretentious to the “normies”. The difference today is stark. Ordinary people no longer need to be told of decline; they can see it, everywhere.

Given this, it is clear that a visionary is what is needed - not a clown, not a pretender, not an automaton, not a grifter, not a “reformer”, not a caretaker, but someone who actually cares about this country and is prepared to fight for it, someone who has the wisdom and courage to see beyond the awful things that must be done to the prize that awaits, justifying those sins.

Nigel Farage is definitely not that man. But his premiership will probably be what causes such men to finally emerge. His failure, being the most right-wing that the regime is prepared to tolerate, will be the final devastating proof that the regime itself has to go.

I actually think many of the public already know this. Ironically, it is Farage’s own fanbase - the burnt-out but unadventurous centre-right Little Englanders so lambasted for their “knee-jerk” “intolerance” - who are the only ones still needing to be knee-jerk and intolerant. His premiership will teach them.

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(Addendum, February 2026. This essay was written before Farage brought countless non-white figures into Reform, before he brought in Conservative Party defectors who had betrayed the country while in government, before he said that Reform will inevitably make an electoral pact with the Conservative Party, or even merge into it, and before he reiterated that he vehemently opposes ethno-nationalism. It was also written before hints emerged that he will resign as Reform leader before the next election (avoiding the responsibility of being Prime Minister) which would presumably leave Reform with little option but to merge with the Conservative Party. If this happens, Farage’s bold new party will have soaked up endless amounts of nationalist energy and achieved nothing but the reviving of the establishment party it purportedly opposed. This essay was also written before Farage’s nemesis Rupert Lowe launched his own political party, Restore Britain. Finally, a sane and serious choice is available to people actually concerned for this country.)